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Fantasy Points Allowed by Position in 2014

Fantasy Points Allowed by Position After NFL Week 3


Fantasy Points AllowedFootballNFL

One important factor in projecting future production for your fantasy players is the quality of the defenses they are matched up against. Some defenses stop the run well, but get burned through the air. Others are torn apart by good running backs, but protect well against the pass. The tables below show the Fantasy Points Allowed to each skill position by each of the NFL defenses following Week 3 of the 2014 NFL season.

 

Are three games of Fantasy Points Allowed data enough?

 

In Fantasy Baseball we make a big hassle over sample size. The statistics put up over even a month’s worth of play (or a year)  can be very misleading, and to make decisions on that short span usually gets you in trouble.

The MLB season is 162 games long though, which means there is more time to make in-season adjustment. The NFL season is only 16 games long (technically 17 with the byes) and data from previous seasons is far less relevant than in baseball. We need actionable data fast in Fantasy Football and Fantasy Points Allowed by Position is the best method for making lineup decisions in traditional season-long leagues and especially in Daily/Weekly Fantasy Football.

Data after three weeks isn’t perfect. There will be some sample size flukes caused by strength of schedule and injuries, but it is still our most useful starting point. The 2013 numbers are quickly losing meaning with most NFL teams having undergone extensive overhauls. It is at this three week mark, though, that I think you can really start to use Fantasy Points Allowed to your advantage. You have to take the numbers in context, but by now we have a real idea of where most NFL defense are susceptible.

As you can see I have added several scoring systems below and built separate tables for traditional leagues and Daily/Weekly formats where I think FPAbP is most useful. For each of the scoring systems, I’ve tried to eliminate as much randomness as possible. I haven’t used negative points for fumbles or any of the bonus points for big games (300 yds. Passing, 100 yds. Ruch & Rec.) that sites like DraftKings and Draftster award. While this means the numbers may not reflect the actual fantasy points allowed, I do believe it normalizes the numbers a bit and makes them a little more predictive in nature… and to make it clear that’s what we’re looking for out of Fantasy Points Allowed by Position; a way to project the future production of the skill positions against their upcoming defensive opponents.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals16.811.321.89.0
 Atlanta Falcons14.428.420.55.2
 Baltimore Ravens13.315.323.43.7
 Buffalo Bills17.712.725.08.2
 Carolina Panthers15.722.619.06.1
 Chicago Bears17.418.419.35.9
 Cincinnati Bengals13.614.820.07.0
 Cleveland Browns15.829.817.79.6
 Dallas Cowboys17.512.417.817.7
 Denver Broncos21.521.619.49.6
 Detroit Lions12.013.212.59.9
 Green Bay Packers15.325.517.82.2
 Houston Texans15.520.421.38.3
 Indianapolis Colts20.022.319.412.9
 Jacksonville Jaguars24.830.423.117.8
 Kansas City Chiefs18.213.822.810.2
 Miami Dolphins16.025.713.29.2
 Minnesota Vikings12.817.017.99.4
 New England Patriots9.919.512.54.6
 New Orleans Saints18.319.624.75.1
 New York Giants18.817.024.94.5
 New York Jets20.36.727.17.8
 Oakland Raiders13.922.714.96.9
 Philadelphia Eagles22.621.228.36.5
 Pittsburgh Steelers16.618.118.913.2
 San Diego Chargers19.022.114.44.4
 San Francisco 49ers19.011.230.15.1
 Seattle Seahawks18.212.018.815.7
 St. Louis Rams16.816.417.76.2
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers17.618.826.58.2
 Tennessee Titans9.920.815.06.1
 Washington Redskins17.37.026.65.7
DraftKings Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals18.313.129.811.8
 Atlanta Falcons16.332.224.78.3
 Baltimore Ravens15.717.530.65.4
 Buffalo Bills19.515.732.311.7
 Carolina Panthers17.025.125.78.8
 Chicago Bears17.921.024.88.2
 Cincinnati Bengals14.216.627.210.7
 Cleveland Browns17.633.022.912.7
 Dallas Cowboys18.713.422.922.2
 Denver Broncos23.424.927.412.4
 Detroit Lions13.414.717.612.6
 Green Bay Packers16.327.823.83.4
 Houston Texans17.421.429.811.6
 Indianapolis Colts21.925.024.715.0
 Jacksonville Jaguars27.833.629.821.9
 Kansas City Chiefs20.615.529.612.3
 Miami Dolphins18.228.718.311.7
 Minnesota Vikings14.518.923.612.9
 New England Patriots9.722.616.86.8
 New Orleans Saints21.221.732.76.9
 New York Giants20.518.830.96.2
 New York Jets22.79.233.99.6
 Oakland Raiders15.624.721.18.7
 Philadelphia Eagles24.923.136.09.3
 Pittsburgh Steelers19.020.025.616.2
 San Diego Chargers21.426.819.15.7
 San Francisco 49ers20.413.636.57.3
 Seattle Seahawks20.115.026.818.4
 St. Louis Rams18.018.322.77.9
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers20.020.633.211.4
 Tennessee Titans10.421.920.58.4
 Washington Redskins19.48.433.66.7
Fantasy Aces Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .05 | Int. = -2 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. = .5 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals16.813.129.811.8
 Atlanta Falcons14.432.224.78.3
 Baltimore Ravens13.317.530.65.4
 Buffalo Bills17.715.732.311.7
 Carolina Panthers15.725.125.78.8
 Chicago Bears17.421.024.88.2
 Cincinnati Bengals13.616.627.210.7
 Cleveland Browns15.833.022.912.7
 Dallas Cowboys17.513.422.922.2
 Denver Broncos21.524.927.412.4
 Detroit Lions12.014.717.612.6
 Green Bay Packers15.327.823.83.4
 Houston Texans15.521.429.811.6
 Indianapolis Colts20.025.024.715.0
 Jacksonville Jaguars24.833.629.821.9
 Kansas City Chiefs18.215.529.612.3
 Miami Dolphins16.028.718.311.7
 Minnesota Vikings12.818.923.612.9
 New England Patriots9.922.616.86.8
 New Orleans Saints18.321.732.76.9
 New York Giants18.818.830.96.2
 New York Jets20.39.233.99.6
 Oakland Raiders13.924.721.18.7
 Philadelphia Eagles22.623.136.09.3
 Pittsburgh Steelers16.620.025.616.2
 San Diego Chargers19.026.819.15.7
 San Francisco 49ers19.013.636.57.3
 Seattle Seahawks18.215.026.818.4
 St. Louis Rams16.818.322.77.9
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers17.620.633.211.4
 Tennessee Titans9.921.920.58.4
 Washington Redskins17.38.433.66.7
FanDuel Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. = .50 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals16.814.937.814.7
 Atlanta Falcons14.436.128.811.5
 Baltimore Ravens13.319.737.77.0
 Buffalo Bills17.718.739.615.2
 Carolina Panthers15.727.632.411.5
 Chicago Bears17.423.730.310.5
 Cincinnati Bengals13.618.434.314.3
 Cleveland Browns15.836.128.015.9
 Dallas Cowboys17.514.428.126.7
 Denver Broncos21.528.335.415.2
 Detroit Lions12.016.222.815.3
 Green Bay Packers15.330.129.84.5
 Houston Texans15.522.438.314.9
 Indianapolis Colts20.027.630.117.2
 Jacksonville Jaguars24.836.836.426.1
 Kansas City Chiefs18.217.236.414.5
 Miami Dolphins16.031.723.514.2
 Minnesota Vikings12.820.729.216.4
 New England Patriots9.925.821.28.9
 New Orleans Saints18.323.940.78.7
 New York Giants18.820.636.97.8
 New York Jets20.311.740.711.4
 Oakland Raiders13.926.727.210.6
 Philadelphia Eagles22.624.943.612.2
 Pittsburgh Steelers16.621.832.219.2
 San Diego Chargers19.031.523.77.1
 San Francisco 49ers19.015.942.89.4
 Seattle Seahawks18.218.034.821.0
 St. Louis Rams16.820.127.79.6
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers17.622.439.914.6
 Tennessee Titans9.923.126.010.8
 Washington Redskins17.39.740.67.7
Draftster Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. = 1.0 |Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals16.814.937.814.7
 Atlanta Falcons14.436.128.811.5
 Baltimore Ravens13.319.737.77.0
 Buffalo Bills17.718.739.615.2
 Carolina Panthers15.727.632.411.5
 Chicago Bears17.423.730.310.5
 Cincinnati Bengals13.618.434.314.3
 Cleveland Browns15.836.128.015.9
 Dallas Cowboys17.514.428.126.7
 Denver Broncos21.528.335.415.2
 Detroit Lions12.016.222.815.3
 Green Bay Packers15.330.129.84.5
 Houston Texans15.522.438.314.9
 Indianapolis Colts20.027.630.117.2
 Jacksonville Jaguars24.836.836.426.1
 Kansas City Chiefs18.217.236.414.5
 Miami Dolphins16.031.723.514.2
 Minnesota Vikings12.820.729.216.4
 New England Patriots9.925.821.28.9
 New Orleans Saints18.323.940.78.7
 New York Giants18.820.636.97.8
 New York Jets20.311.740.711.4
 Oakland Raiders13.926.727.210.6
 Philadelphia Eagles22.624.943.612.2
 Pittsburgh Steelers16.621.832.219.2
 San Diego Chargers19.031.523.77.1
 San Francisco 49ers19.015.942.89.4
 Seattle Seahawks18.218.034.821.0
 St. Louis Rams16.820.127.79.6
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers17.622.439.914.6
 Tennessee Titans9.923.126.010.8
 Washington Redskins17.39.740.67.7
Fan Throwdown Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. = 1.0 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

 

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals15.811.321.89.0
 Atlanta Falcons13.828.420.55.2
 Baltimore Ravens13.015.323.43.7
 Buffalo Bills16.712.725.08.2
 Carolina Panthers14.722.619.06.1
 Chicago Bears15.418.419.35.9
 Cincinnati Bengals11.614.820.07.0
 Cleveland Browns14.829.817.79.6
 Dallas Cowboys16.112.417.817.7
 Denver Broncos20.521.619.49.6
 Detroit Lions11.413.212.59.9
 Green Bay Packers14.325.517.82.2
 Houston Texans14.820.421.38.3
 Indianapolis Colts19.022.319.412.9
 Jacksonville Jaguars24.530.423.117.8
 Kansas City Chiefs18.213.822.810.2
 Miami Dolphins16.025.713.29.2
 Minnesota Vikings12.117.017.99.4
 New England Patriots7.919.512.54.6
 New Orleans Saints18.319.624.75.1
 New York Giants17.817.024.94.5
 New York Jets20.36.727.17.8
 Oakland Raiders13.622.714.96.9
 Philadelphia Eagles22.021.228.36.5
 Pittsburgh Steelers16.618.118.913.2
 San Diego Chargers19.022.114.44.4
 San Francisco 49ers18.011.230.15.1
 Seattle Seahawks17.512.018.815.7
 St. Louis Rams16.116.417.76.2
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers17.318.826.58.2
 Tennessee Titans8.620.815.06.1
 Washington Redskins17.07.026.65.7
ESPN Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -2 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals18.411.321.89.0
 Atlanta Falcons15.828.420.55.2
 Baltimore Ravens14.315.323.43.7
 Buffalo Bills20.012.725.08.2
 Carolina Panthers18.122.619.06.1
 Chicago Bears17.418.419.35.9
 Cincinnati Bengals13.014.820.07.0
 Cleveland Browns17.529.817.79.6
 Dallas Cowboys20.112.417.817.7
 Denver Broncos23.121.619.49.6
 Detroit Lions13.413.212.59.9
 Green Bay Packers16.325.517.82.2
 Houston Texans16.820.421.38.3
 Indianapolis Colts23.022.319.412.9
 Jacksonville Jaguars29.830.423.117.8
 Kansas City Chiefs22.213.822.810.2
 Miami Dolphins19.425.713.29.2
 Minnesota Vikings14.117.017.99.4
 New England Patriots9.919.512.54.6
 New Orleans Saints21.019.624.75.1
 New York Giants19.817.024.94.5
 New York Jets25.06.727.17.8
 Oakland Raiders16.322.714.96.9
 Philadelphia Eagles27.321.228.36.5
 Pittsburgh Steelers19.918.118.913.2
 San Diego Chargers22.322.114.44.4
 San Francisco 49ers22.711.230.15.1
 Seattle Seahawks21.512.018.815.7
 St. Louis Rams18.816.417.76.2
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers20.618.826.58.2
 Tennessee Titans9.920.815.06.1
 Washington Redskins20.37.026.65.7
CBS Scoring: Passing TD = 6 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -2 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals16.811.321.89.0
 Atlanta Falcons14.428.420.55.2
 Baltimore Ravens13.315.323.43.7
 Buffalo Bills17.712.725.08.2
 Carolina Panthers15.722.619.06.1
 Chicago Bears17.418.419.35.9
 Cincinnati Bengals13.614.820.07.0
 Cleveland Browns15.829.817.79.6
 Dallas Cowboys17.512.417.817.7
 Denver Broncos21.521.619.49.6
 Detroit Lions12.013.212.59.9
 Green Bay Packers15.325.517.82.2
 Houston Texans15.520.421.38.3
 Indianapolis Colts20.022.319.412.9
 Jacksonville Jaguars24.830.423.117.8
 Kansas City Chiefs18.213.822.810.2
 Miami Dolphins16.025.713.29.2
 Minnesota Vikings12.817.017.99.4
 New England Patriots9.919.512.54.6
 New Orleans Saints18.319.624.75.1
 New York Giants18.817.024.94.5
 New York Jets20.36.727.17.8
 Oakland Raiders13.922.714.96.9
 Philadelphia Eagles22.621.228.36.5
 Pittsburgh Steelers16.618.118.913.2
 San Diego Chargers19.022.114.44.4
 San Francisco 49ers19.011.230.15.1
 Seattle Seahawks18.212.018.815.7
 St. Louis Rams16.816.417.76.2
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers17.618.826.58.2
 Tennessee Titans9.920.815.06.1
 Washington Redskins17.37.026.65.7
Yahoo! Scoring: | Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .04 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals19.314.937.814.7
 Atlanta Falcons17.036.128.811.5
 Baltimore Ravens16.019.737.77.0
 Buffalo Bills20.518.739.615.2
 Carolina Panthers18.027.632.411.5
 Chicago Bears19.923.730.310.5
 Cincinnati Bengals16.218.434.314.3
 Cleveland Browns18.636.128.015.9
 Dallas Cowboys20.014.428.126.7
 Denver Broncos24.428.335.415.2
 Detroit Lions14.116.222.815.3
 Green Bay Packers17.330.129.84.5
 Houston Texans18.022.438.314.9
 Indianapolis Colts22.927.630.117.2
 Jacksonville Jaguars28.236.836.426.1
 Kansas City Chiefs20.617.236.414.5
 Miami Dolphins18.231.723.514.2
 Minnesota Vikings15.220.729.216.4
 New England Patriots11.725.821.28.9
 New Orleans Saints21.223.940.78.7
 New York Giants21.520.636.97.8
 New York Jets22.711.740.711.4
 Oakland Raiders15.926.727.210.6
 Philadelphia Eagles25.524.943.612.2
 Pittsburgh Steelers19.021.832.219.2
 San Diego Chargers21.431.523.77.1
 San Francisco 49ers21.415.942.89.4
 Seattle Seahawks20.818.034.821.0
 St. Louis Rams18.720.127.79.6
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers20.322.439.914.6
 Tennessee Titans11.723.126.010.8
 Washington Redskins19.79.740.67.7
FFPC Scoring: Passing TD = 4 pts. | Pass Yds. = .05 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. = 1 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

Team
QB
RB
WR
TE
 Arizona Cardinals22.013.129.811.8
 Atlanta Falcons19.032.224.78.3
 Baltimore Ravens17.417.530.65.4
 Buffalo Bills23.815.732.311.7
 Carolina Panthers21.325.125.78.8
 Chicago Bears21.921.024.88.2
 Cincinnati Bengals17.516.627.210.7
 Cleveland Browns21.233.022.912.7
 Dallas Cowboys24.013.422.922.2
 Denver Broncos27.124.927.412.4
 Detroit Lions16.114.717.612.6
 Green Bay Packers19.327.823.83.4
 Houston Texans20.021.429.811.6
 Indianapolis Colts26.925.024.715.0
 Jacksonville Jaguars33.533.629.821.9
 Kansas City Chiefs24.615.529.612.3
 Miami Dolphins21.528.718.311.7
 Minnesota Vikings17.218.923.612.9
 New England Patriots13.722.616.86.8
 New Orleans Saints23.821.732.76.9
 New York Giants23.518.830.96.2
 New York Jets27.49.233.99.6
 Oakland Raiders18.624.721.18.7
 Philadelphia Eagles30.923.136.09.3
 Pittsburgh Steelers22.420.025.616.2
 San Diego Chargers24.826.819.15.7
 San Francisco 49ers26.113.636.57.3
 Seattle Seahawks24.815.026.818.4
 St. Louis Rams21.418.322.77.9
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers23.720.633.211.4
 Tennessee Titans13.021.920.58.4
 Washington Redskins23.08.433.66.7
NFFC Scoring: Passing TD = 6 pts. | Pass Yds. = .05 | Int. = -1 | Rush TD = 6 pts. | Rush Yds. = .10 | Rec. = .5 | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | Rec. TD = 6 pts. | 2 pt. Conv. = 2 pts.

 

 

 



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