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Marvin Jones vs Roy Helu

2015 Sleeper Bracket – Marvin Jones vs Roy Helu


FootballNFL

2015 Sleeper Bracket – Marvin Jones vs Roy Helu

2015 Sleepers Bracket Round 1 Match Ups
Garcon vs T Williams | Stills vs J Brown | Hill vs Eifert | D Johnson vs Sankey
M Jones vs Helu | Cadet vs Flacco | Palmer vs Teddy B | Carr vs Bradford

In conjunction with FNTSY, the FSLR Ultimate Sleeper’s bracket is back for another year, and the march has begun to crown a champion – the king of value for 2015 draft season.

2015 Rankings: RB | WR | QB | TE | First Round: Safe/Bust | RB or WR? | GRONK | Strategy | Dez or DT? | CJA or Beast Mode?
Pat Mayo Hour: Video | Audio | Facebook | Twitter | E-Mail | DFS Coverage: Daily Roto | DFS Review: Yahoo! DFS Game
2015 Sleepers: RB | WR | QB | TE | All Positions | 2015 Busts: RB | WR | QB | TE | All Positions | Rookies: RB | WR | QB/TE
2015 HOT TAKES: Chris Meaney (FNTSY) |  Brad Evans (Y!) | Davis Mattek (FI) | Eric Mack (FD) | Michael Salfino (WSJ)
2015 Player Profiles: Running Backs | Wide Receivers | Quarterbacks | Tight Ends | Team Previews/Depth Charts

Check the bracket page for rules, and most importantly for info on the authors who have contributed to this project. As a reader, your job is simple. Vote for the author you think made the most compelling case, and/or for the sleeper you think provides the best draft day value at the end of the piece.

[Check the full bracket and other candidates here]

Video: Subscribe to the Pat Mayo Hour on YouTube | Audio: Subscribe to the Pat Mayo Hour on iTunes
Marvin Jones (Dennis Esser / The Fantasy Coach)

Thank the good lord for redshirt years.  That’s what I’m calling the 2014 season for Marvin Jones.  Foot and ankle issues held Jones out for the entire 2014 after he was one of the most hyped fantasy football sleepers going into training camp.  Because we’re only a year removed from my 2nd place run with Marvin Jones in the #FSLRUltimateSleeper, I can literally cut and paste much of what I wrote about him as a sleeper last year and just put a fresh spin on it. Not much has changed with the player, just the team around him has changed a bit.  Some of the major differences in Jones outlook this year versus last year are that we got a good look at how the offense is going to run going forward after watching it function under Hue Jackson in 2014 and we also got a long look at Mohamed Sanu who was battling with Jones for playing time before Jones suffered the injuries.

Jackson transformed the Bengals into a more balanced team as Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard took turns as the lead back in an offense that finished with the fifth most rushes in the league.  The rushing attempts were just a little over 49% of the teams total attempts on offense and the percentage was probably tilted a little more towards the run because of key injuries to AJ Green, Tyler Eifert, and Marvin Jones.  With his weapons injured Andy Dalton struggled last year and it made the Bengals rely on the run even more than they probably would have.

The Bengals under Hue Jackson come with the label of run first and run often so it makes investing in their passing game a little dicey for most fantasy football owners, but there are reasons you should look to get value in your drafts based on this view.  Currently AJ Green is sliding down into the mid to late 2nd round of 12 team PPR drafts because of this mindset combined with the ankle injury he suffered last season.  Marvin Jones get the “Running Team” discount as well as the sneaky coming off of an injury discount.  Couponers call that stacking (I’m thinking Fantasy Sports while watching crappy TV).

The discount we are currently getting on Marvin Jones is around the 60th overall wide receiver being drafted.  Fantasy Pros has him going around the 170th player overall, but I think those numbers are a little on the low side as some sites drafts are just getting under way.  Let’s just say Jones is usually still on the board into the 13th round in best ball PPR drafts at this point and that’s an outstanding value for a player with his talent and track record.  Jones has the upside of a legitimate wide receiver 3 in almost all leagues and at his current price tag he’s a huge get as your fourth or fifth wide receiver.   I’m not saying Jones is going to break out and be this huge wide receiver two in fantasy leagues, but I am confident he can finish somewhere from WR30 to WR40 without too much having to break his way.

Hopefully you will agree with me on Marvin Jones being the Ultimate Sleeper so I can share why Sanu is no longer a threat and why Jones is made for this system as I take on the next challenger in the bracket.

Contributing Writer: Dennis M. Esser, (@Coachesser) Owner of Coachesser.com, host of The Fantasy Sports Coach Podcast available on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.

Roy Helu (Zach Greubel / USA Today Fantasy Sports)

Say Hello to Helu!

There are a few unfamiliar faces in the Oakland backfield this year. Actually, there are quite a few unfamiliar faces throughout the offense. We’ll stay focused on the running backs, though. One of those unfamiliar faces belongs to one Roy Helu. Helu joins Latavius Murray and Trent Richardson in the Raiders’ backfield this year. While Murray is expected to start, he won’t be relied on too heavily in the passing game. That is where Helu will come in. Helu may be a running back, but his specialty is catching the football.

Last season was Helu’s most productive as far as catching the football is concerned. He posted career-highs in receiving yards (477) and receiving touchdowns (2). In fact, his  477 receiving yards were fourth among running backs last year.; and, only two running backs with 40+ targets last season caught at least 89 percent of those targets: DeMarco Murray and Roy Helu.

If Oakland falls behind in games, which they’ve been accustomed to doing over the past 12 years (they haven’t had a winning season since 2002), they’ll be forced to put the ball through the air frequently. The possibility of Helu reaching nearly 500 receiving yards again isn’t out of the question. He could see similar numbers to those he amassed in 2011 when he finished as a RB2 in PPR leagues. Helu gained over 1,000 total yards and only three total touchdowns, but he did have 49 receptions — ninth most among running backs that year. He was tied for 12th among running backs with 42 catches last season.

Of course, he’ll give you some points running the ball, too. In his three seasons of at least 14 games played with the Washington Redskins, Helu averaged 376.66 yards and 2.3 touchdowns. So, while Murray will be the Raiders’ primary option on handoffs, Helu should still provide fantasy owners with at least 30 more fantasy points on the ground.

Murray and Helu have a chance to give the Raiders a nice thunder and lightning combination this season. Don’t miss out on the lightning strike.



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